Arab News
Arab news, Tue, May 06, 2025 | Dhu al-Qadah 8, 1446
Saudi Arabia posts $15.6bn budget deficit in Q1 with resilient non-oil growth
Saudi Arabia:
Saudi Arabia recorded a deficit of SR58.7
billion ($15.65 billion) in the first quarter of 2025, driven by declining oil
revenues and increased spending to support Vision 2030 development initiatives,
according to the Finance Ministry.
According to the quarterly budget performance
report, total revenues reached SR263.61 billion, marking a 10.16 percent decline
compared to the same period last year.
The drop is primarily attributed to reduced oil
revenues, which fell 17.65 percent year on year to SR149.81 billion, driven by
ongoing OPEC+ production cuts that curbed export volumes despite relatively
steady global oil prices.
Oil income accounted for 56 percent of total
government revenues, down from 62 percent in Q1 2024.
In contrast, non-oil revenues continued to grow
modestly, rising 2.06 percent to SR113.81 billion, underpinned by structural
economic reforms and the Kingdom’s diversification agenda under Vision 2030.
Taxation on goods and services remained the
largest contributor to non-oil income, generating SR71.56 billion—up 2.37
percent year on year. Other non-oil revenue sources, including fees and
investment returns, added SR25.41 billion, making up 22.3 percent of the non-oil
total.
Total government expenditures in the quarter rose
5.39 percent year on year to SR322.32 billion. The increase reflects Saudi
Arabia’s continued investment in strategic initiatives and priority development
projects aligned with Vision 2030 goals.
Compensation for government employees remained the
largest expenditure category, totaling SR146.09 billion—an annual increase of
6.24 percent—and accounting for 45.3 percent of total spending.
Expenditures on goods and services amounted to
SR64.63 billion, or 20 percent of the quarterly total, while capital spending
represented 8.6 percent. Other operational costs comprised 10.6 percent.
The first quarter deficit was entirely financed
through debt instruments, pushing Saudi Arabia’s total public debt to SR1.33
trillion—up 19.08 percent from a year earlier.
Of this, 60 percent was sourced domestically, with
the remainder attributed to external borrowing, in line with the Kingdom’s debt
diversification strategy.
Despite the fiscal shortfall, the ministry noted
that the quarterly figures remain consistent with the government’s 2025 budget
plan. Revenues in the first quarter represent 22.3 percent of the full-year
target, while expenditures account for 25 percent of the planned annual spend.
Looking ahead, Saudi Arabia’s fiscal outlook may
receive a boost from higher oil output. OPEC+ recently announced plans to
accelerate the unwinding of prior production cuts, including a June increase of
411,000 barrels per day. Combined with earlier boosts in April and May, the
group plans to restore a total of 960,000 barrels per day—reversing 44 percent
of the 2.2 million bpd reduction agreed upon in December 2024.